
The Fair Stake

Lottomatica to absorb Cirsa as Blackstone takes 24% stake
Lottomatica will absorb Cirsa in an all-share EU cross-border merger, handing Blackstone about 24% of the combined gaming operator. Completion due Q2 2027.
Crypto prices
BTCBitcoin$82,555−0.50%
ETHEthereum$2,502−2.58%
BNBBNB$744.32−3.18%
XRPXRP$1.40−0.29%
SOLSolana$110.54−3.86%
ZECZcash$1,231−0.74%
HYPEHyperliquid$86.00−1.46%
DOGEDogecoin$0.0853−2.70%
Gambling
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Canada rules sports prediction markets out of securities law
CSA and CIRO say sports event contracts sit outside securities and derivatives law - the opposite of the classification Kalshi is fighting for in US courts.
Betting
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Crystal Palace vs Manchester City odds, prediction and picks
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City odds, prediction and picks: bet365 make City 3/5, but de-vig the book and it matches Polymarket's 57.5¢ almost exactly.
eSports
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FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp odds: VCT EMEA 2026 upper final
Polymarket prices Karmine Corp at 55.5¢ and FUT Esports at 44.5¢ for the VCT 2026 EMEA Stage 2 upper final in Badalona. Odds, head-to-head, prediction.
Deep Dives
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Los Angeles mayor 2026 odds: is Nithya Raman at 35¢ value?
Los Angeles mayor 2026 odds: Polymarket prices Nithya Raman at 35.15¢ against Karen Bass. Our transfer model says 37% — the edge, the math and where it breaks.


























