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Russia Duma 2026 odds: is United Russia at 70.5¢ value?
Russia Duma 2026 odds: is United Russia at 70.5¢ value?
Tobi Opeyemi AmureTobi Opeyemi Amure
EditorDeep DiveseSports
Editor and content strategist for crypto and iGaming news. Former contributor at Watcher Guru, Investing.com, and Traders Union. Named among LinkedIn's top 333 Web3 creators. Covers esports betting, sports wagering, and gambling regulation.
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Stories by Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Venezuela leader 2026 odds: is Maduro out at 14.5¢ value?
Polymarket prices Maduro at 85.5¢ to lead Venezuela at end-2026 — from a US jail cell. Why 'Maduro out' at 14.5¢ is fairly priced, and what it really asks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
MLS Cup 2026 odds: Vancouver at 18.3¢ is dearer than Kalshi
MLS Cup 2026 odds: Polymarket prices Vancouver Whitecaps at 18.3¢, or 17.1% de-vigged. Our path model says 12.5% — and Kalshi and DraftKings both sit lower.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket Taiwan invasion odds 2026: is 3.85¢ overpriced?
Polymarket prices a China invasion of Taiwan by end-2026 at 3.85c. Our sourced estimate is 1.0% - a 2.85pp gap - plus what the resolution excludes.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Brewers World Series 2026 odds: is 10.5¢ on Polymarket value?
Brewers World Series 2026 odds: Polymarket has Milwaukee at 10.5¢ despite MLB's best record and run differential. Our model says 16% — a 5.5pp edge.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
NFC Championship 2027 odds: is Dallas at 6¢ on Polymarket value?
NFC Championship 2027 odds: Polymarket has the Dallas Cowboys at 6.2¢. Our three-anchor model says 6.0% — the edge, the maths and where it breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
NBA 2027 title odds: is San Antonio at 20.5¢ value?
Polymarket prices the San Antonio Spurs at 20.5¢ to win the 2027 NBA title. Our model says 16.5%. The de-vig math, the edge and where the bet breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
G2 vs FURIA odds and prediction: EWC 2026 CS2 quarterfinal
FURIA are 58.5c favourites over G2 Esports for the EWC 2026 CS2 quarterfinal on August 20. Odds, form, head-to-head and where the map three pricing breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
US-Iran nuclear deal odds: is Yes at 11.5¢ on Polymarket value?
US-Iran nuclear deal odds: Polymarket prices Yes at 11.5¢ for December 31, 2026. Our estimate is 13.5% — and the real gap sits one contract over.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket NYC mayor odds: is Mamdani exit at 4.5¢ value?
Polymarket NYC mayor odds: the market prices a Mamdani exit before 2027 at 4.5¢. Our base-rate estimate says 2%, but the whole edge is worth about $45.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
ESL Pro League Season 24 predictions: NAVI and G2 rebuilt
ESL Pro League Season 24 lands in Katowice on October 3, 2026 for $1,000,000. The 16-team field is set: NAVI sixth, G2 Esports only 12th in Valve's standings.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
EPL 2027 title odds: is Arsenal at 42.5¢ value?
Polymarket prices Arsenal at 42.5¢ to win the 2026-27 Premier League title. We put the true number at 36.5% — why the EPL 2027 favourite looks rich.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure