BTC$81,339−2.33%
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DOGE$0.0828−6.37%US announces end of Iranian blockade by…Yes 11.5¢PolymarketWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25…Yes 15.5¢PolymarketWill there be no change in Fed interest…Yes 83.5¢PolymarketFear & Greed64Greed
Editor and content strategist for crypto and iGaming news. Former contributor at Watcher Guru, Investing.com, and Traders Union. Named among LinkedIn's top 333 Web3 creators. Covers esports betting, sports wagering, and gambling regulation.
Polymarket prices Yes on Russia capturing all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026 at 40.5¢. Our base-rate model says 43% — a 2.5pp edge that is noise on a market trading $1,885 a day.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket prices Anthropic at 60.25¢ to be 2026's largest IPO by market cap. Our estimate is 57%, a -3pp edge — SpaceX already closed day one near $2.1tn.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Avengers: Doomsday box office odds sit at 52¢ on Polymarket for 2026's biggest opening weekend. Spider-Man's $360.09m is already banked — the math.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Los Angeles mayor 2026 odds: Polymarket prices Nithya Raman at 35.15¢ against Karen Bass. Our transfer model says 37% — the edge, the math and where it breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket prices Bab el-Mandeb closure by December 31 at 16.5¢. IMF PortWatch data puts the true number nearer 6% — the odds, the edge and where it breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
NRG are 1.24 (-417) and LOUD 3.75 (+275) for the VCT Americas Stage 2 upper semifinal on August 28, 2026. Odds, form, head-to-head and predictions.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket prices Karmine Corp at 55.5¢ and FUT Esports at 44.5¢ for the VCT 2026 EMEA Stage 2 upper final in Badalona. Odds, head-to-head, prediction.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket prices Gadi Eizenkot at 56.15¢ to be Israel's next PM after the October 27 election. Our estimate is 57% — why the edge is under a point.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket prices the LCK at 67.5¢ to win Worlds 2026 and the LPL at 25.5¢ — a 2.6:1 gap on a book with a 1.6% overround. LPL quarter-finals are the test.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
LCK 2026 playoffs odds: Gen.G are 42% favourites on Polymarket after tying Hanwha Life at 19-7. Hanwha Life are already through to Worlds 2026. Full picks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket aliens odds 2026: YES trades at 3.9¢ — a 3.9% implied probability — against our 1.8% estimate. The base-rate math, and where the read breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket prices a Democratic sweep at 48.5¢ in its Balance of Power 2026 midterms market. Our rebuild says 49.35% — and why the 1.5pp gap is not real.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
