Ben Griffin heads the John Deere Classic 2026 outright market as a narrow favourite at a course where nothing but a deep red number wins — the eventual champion has reached at least 18-under-par every year since 2009.
The John Deere Classic 2026 runs July 2-5 at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, and the betting market is tightly bunched at the top. Ben Griffin opened as the favourite at +1300, with Chris Gotterup just behind at +1375 and Keith Mitchell at +1750, per DraftKings as of June 28, 2026. (In American odds, a plus figure shows the profit on a $100 stake, so +1300 returns $1,300 on $100.) As the final stateside stop before the Genesis Scottish Open, the event draws a lighter field, which lengthens the favourites.
Key Facts:
• Ben Griffin opened as the +1300 favourite, just ahead of Chris Gotterup at +1375 — DraftKings (June 28, 2026)
• The winning score has been at least 18-under-par every year since 2009 at TPC Deere Run — Sports Betting Dime
• The John Deere Classic runs July 2-5, 2026, at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois — DraftKings
• Defending champion Brian Campbell, a long-odds winner in 2025, returns to the field — DraftKings
Why TPC Deere Run rewards low scoring
TPC Deere Run is one of the most birdie-friendly tracks on the PGA Tour. Every champion since 2009 has finished at 18-under-par or lower, so ball-striking that produces relentless birdie chances matters far more than survival around tougher major-style setups. That profile favours accurate iron play and hot putting over raw length, and it routinely lets a streaky scorer run away from the field across the weekend. It is the polar opposite of the grind we covered at the Travelers Championship 2026.
The contenders
Ben Griffin (+1300) and Chris Gotterup (+1375) split the head of the market, with Keith Mitchell (+1750) next and a cluster — Keegan Bradley (+2600), J.T. Poston (+2700), Eric Cole (+2700) and Jordan Spieth (+2800) — packed behind. Spieth is the most notable name on course history: a two-time John Deere champion (2013 and 2015), he fits a venue that rewards exactly his birdie-making, even if his price reflects patchier recent form. With no clear standout, this is a week where mid-priced and each-way angles carry more value than usual.
Field, context and schedule
The John Deere annually serves as a bye week for many of the Tour’s biggest names, who skip ahead to Scotland and the year’s final major. That thinner field is why the outright favourite sits as long as +1300 — a price you rarely see atop a regular Tour event. For more PGA Tour betting context, see our RBC Canadian Open 2026 coverage.
Betting Outlook
Favourite: Ben Griffin at +1300 (American) / 14.00 (decimal) to win outright on DraftKings as of June 28, 2026, with Chris Gotterup (+1375) and Keith Mitchell (+1750) next. The flat board reflects a lighter, more open field.
Predicted result: a winning score around 21-under, in line with the sub-18-under history, and a leaderboard topped by a birdie-heavy ball-striker rather than a grinder. With the favourites this long, the market itself is signalling an unpredictable week.
Props worth a look:
- Jordan Spieth top-20 at a course where he has won twice (2013, 2015) — his history fits a birdie-fest better than his outright price suggests.
- Winning score of 20-under or lower — the champion has cleared 18-under every year since 2009 (Sports Betting Dime).
- Keith Mitchell each-way (top-five) at +1750 — among the strongest drivers in the field at a course that lets aggressive players post.
What to fade: backing defending champion Brian Campbell to go back-to-back at a short repeat price. His 2025 win came at enormous odds, and consecutive John Deere titles are historically rare — that is variance, not a trend to chase.
Odds correct as of June 28, 2026. Informational only — not financial or betting advice. 18+ / 21+ depending on jurisdiction. See Responsible Gambling notice below.
FAQ
Q: Who is favourite for the John Deere Classic 2026?
A: Ben Griffin, at +1300 on DraftKings as of June 28, 2026, just ahead of Chris Gotterup at +1375.
Q: When and where is the John Deere Classic 2026?
A: July 2-5, 2026, at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, the final PGA Tour stop before the Genesis Scottish Open.
Q: What score usually wins at TPC Deere Run?
A: A very low one — the champion has finished at 18-under-par or lower every year since 2009.
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