The Philadelphia Phillies are -135 home favourites against the New York Yankees at Citizens Bank Park on July 24 — despite the Yankees holding the better record, the better road split, the hotter form and the lower starter ERA.
First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is 6:45pm ET on Friday, July 24, 2026. DraftKings has the Phillies at -135 (1.74 decimal) and the Yankees at +112 (2.12) — in American odds the minus sign marks the favourite, so -135 means a $135 stake returns $100 profit. The run line is Phillies -1.5 at +159, the total eight runs. A short price for a home side trailing on almost every number that matters.
Key Facts:
• Phillies -135 (1.74), Yankees +112 (2.12); run line Phillies -1.5 at +159 — DraftKings, July 24, 2026
• Total eight runs: over -105, under -114 — DraftKings, July 24
• Yankees 57-45 with a 31-22 road record; Phillies 56-47 and 27-25 at home — ESPN
• Probables: Cam Schlittler (9-6, 2.20 ERA) v Jesus Luzardo (9-4, 3.43 ERA) — ESPN
Why the Yankees are underdogs despite the better numbers
On the raw ledger New York is ahead: 57-45 to Philadelphia’s 56-47. The split that matters for a road game is emphatic — the Yankees are 31-22 away, the Phillies a modest 27-25 at home. Philadelphia has been better on the road than at home this season, an unusual profile for a -135 home favourite.
The pitching points the same way. Cam Schlittler starts for New York with a 2.20 ERA across a 9-6 season; Jesus Luzardo counters at 3.43. More than a run of earned-run average between starters normally shows up in the price. It has not.
“To see them both playing at this high of a level, I can’t say I’m surprised,” said Aaron Boone, manager at the New York Yankees, on Schlittler and Ben Rice. (Yahoo Sports, May 21, 2026)
Recent form points the same direction
The Yankees come in 4-1 in their last five, including a 2-1 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 19 and a 2-0 shutout of Pittsburgh on July 22. Philadelphia is 2-3, taking the Dodgers opener 10-7 on July 20 before losing 2-1 and 9-5.
So what is the market paying for? Citizens Bank Park is a hitter’s venue, and books shade home favourites where public money lands. Neither is nothing — but at -135 the price assumes both outweigh a full run of starter ERA.
What the total is telling you
An eight-run total with the under at -114 is the more confident number on the board. Juicing the under signals respect for the pitching, not the ballpark; it prices both starters reaching the middle innings, and a short outing breaks it. For context see our World Series odds read and our Phillies vs Tigers preview.
The Betting Angle
Favourite: Philadelphia Phillies at -135 (1.74 decimal) on DraftKings, run line -1.5 at +159, total eight runs. The Yankees are +112 (2.12) on the road, quoted July 24, 2026.
Predicted result: Yankees 4, Phillies 3 — New York on the moneyline, total under eight. The case is the starter gap (2.20 against 3.43), a 31-22 road record against 27-25 at home, and New York arriving 4-1 in their last five to the Phillies’ 2-3.
Markets worth a look:
- Yankees moneyline at +112 — a plus price on the side with the better record, road split and starter ERA.
- Under eight runs at -114 — the juice says books rate this pitching matchup, and 2.20 against 3.43 supports it.
- Cam Schlittler over on strikeouts — New York’s most reliable strikeout arm behind that 2.20 ERA.
What to fade: the Phillies run line at -1.5 (+159). Laying a run and a half against a 2.20 ERA starter pays for a multi-run margin the pitching matchup argues against, and Philadelphia has lost three of five.
Odds correct as of July 24, 2026. Informational only — not financial or betting advice. 18+ / 21+ depending on jurisdiction. See Responsible Gambling notice below.
FAQ
Q: What are the odds for Yankees vs Phillies on July 24?
A: DraftKings has Philadelphia -135 (1.74) and New York +112 (2.12), run line Phillies -1.5 (+159), total eight runs, over -105 and under -114.
Q: Who is pitching?
A: Cam Schlittler (9-6, 2.20 ERA) for the Yankees against Jesus Luzardo (9-4, 3.43 ERA) for the Phillies.
Q: Why are the Yankees underdogs?
A: Largely home-field pricing. New York is 57-45 with a 31-22 road record against Philadelphia’s 56-47 and 27-25 at home. Full data is on the ESPN game page.
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