Jannik Sinner is the overwhelming favourite to defend his Wimbledon crown after Carlos Alcaraz withdrew with a wrist injury, reshaping the men’s outright market before the June 29 start.
The 2026 Wimbledon men’s singles championship begins on June 29, 2026, and the betting market has a clear leader: defending champion Jannik Sinner, priced at -165 (American) / 1.61 (decimal) to lift the trophy at DraftKings as of June 27, 2026. Negative American odds show the stake needed to win $100; the decimal figure is the total return per unit. With two-time champion Carlos Alcaraz out, the path has opened for the chasing pack, but the numbers say it is Sinner’s title to lose.
Key Facts:
• Jannik Sinner is the outright favourite at -165 / 1.61 to win Wimbledon 2026 — DraftKings (June 27, 2026)
• Novak Djokovic is next at +600 (7.00), with Alexander Zverev at +900 (10.00) — DraftKings
• Carlos Alcaraz, the 2023 and 2024 champion, has withdrawn with a right-wrist tendon injury — Sky Sports
• Tournament runs June 29 to July 12, 2026, at the All England Club — Wimbledon
How do the Wimbledon 2026 men’s odds look?
Sinner sits well clear after beating Alcaraz in the 2025 final. Seven-time champion Novak Djokovic is the second favourite at +600, with Alexander Zverev at +900. American hopes Ben Shelton (+1600) and Taylor Fritz (+2000) round out the realistic contenders on a surface that rewards big serving. All prices are DraftKings outright markets as of June 27, 2026. The men’s board mirrors the one-name dominance seen in the Wimbledon 2026 women’s odds.
What does Alcaraz’s withdrawal change?
Alcaraz, who won back-to-back titles in 2023 and 2024 before losing the 2025 final to Sinner, confirmed he will miss the grass-court swing after an inflamed tendon sheath in his right wrist that had already cost him the French Open.
“My recovery is going well and I’m feeling much better, but unfortunately I’m still not ready to compete, which is why I have to withdraw from the grass-court swing at Queen’s and Wimbledon,” said Carlos Alcaraz. (Sky Sports)
His absence removes the one player who has consistently troubled Sinner on the biggest stages, shortening Sinner’s price and lifting the second-tier contenders.
Form, the draw, and the contenders
As the No. 2 seed, Zverev is guaranteed to be on the opposite side of the draw from Sinner, so the pair cannot meet before a potential final. Djokovic’s grass pedigree is unmatched, but he has not added a major since 2023. Sinner’s only flag is limited grass-court match play, having skipped warm-up events. As with other concentrated outright fields this summer, such as the Travelers Championship 2026 odds in golf, the value tends to sit in the each-way and finalist markets rather than the headline price.
Picks & Predictions
Favourite: Jannik Sinner at -165 (American) / 1.61 (decimal) outright on DraftKings as of June 27, 2026. He is the defending champion, holds a winning record over the remaining top seeds, and benefits most from Alcaraz’s withdrawal.
Predicted result: The market points to Sinner lifting the trophy, with a projected final against Zverev or Djokovic from the bottom half. On grass, Sinner’s return depth and flat backhand make him the model’s pick to win in four sets in a final.
Markets worth a look:
- Zverev each-way to reach the final at +900 outright — a clean half of the draw makes a finals run plausible at a price (DraftKings).
- Ben Shelton top American — his serve speed ranks among the tour’s highest, a grass-court asset over Fritz on current form (ATP serve stats).
- Sinner to win without dropping a set in round one — he has opened recent Slams against lower-ranked seeds in straight sets (ATP results).
What to fade: Novak Djokovic outright at +600. The price implies roughly a 14% chance, but a 39-year-old who has not won a major since 2023 and must likely beat Sinner to do so looks short for the variance.
Odds correct as of June 27, 2026. Informational only — not financial or betting advice. 18+ / 21+ depending on jurisdiction. See Responsible Gambling notice below.
FAQ
Q: Who is the favourite to win Wimbledon 2026 men’s singles?
A: Jannik Sinner, the defending champion, at -165 / 1.61 on DraftKings as of June 27, 2026.
Q: Is Carlos Alcaraz playing Wimbledon 2026?
A: No. Alcaraz withdrew with a right-wrist tendon injury, missing the grass-court swing including Queen’s and Wimbledon.
Q: When does Wimbledon 2026 start?
A: The Championships run from June 29 to July 12, 2026, at the All England Club.
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