The Atlanta Dream are 8.5-point home favourites against the Los Angeles Sparks on July 13, 2026 — a big number for a team that has lost six of its last seven and may be without Angel Reese.
bet365 prices the Dream at -370 for the 7:00 PM ET tip at Gateway Center Arena, with the Sparks at +290 and the spread at Atlanta -8.5 (-110), total 180.5 (odds via Covers, July 13, 2026). In American odds, -370 means a $370 stake returns $100 profit (1.27 decimal); +290 returns $290 on $100 (3.90). The market has Atlanta as a comfortable favourite. Their recent form does not.
Key Facts:
• Atlanta are 13-10, Los Angeles 10-11 — records as of July 12, 2026
• The Dream have lost six of their last seven, most recently 102-92 to Portland
• bet365 prices Atlanta -370 (1.27) and Los Angeles +290 (3.90); spread Atlanta -8.5, total 180.5
• Sparks leading scorer Kelsey Plum (23.9 points per game) is out since June 21 with a leg injury
• Angel Reese (15.0 points, 11.7 rebounds) missed Atlanta’s last game with a leg injury
Why the Dream are favoured despite the slide
Atlanta’s price is built on talent, not momentum. The Dream sent three players to the 2026 All-Star Game as reserves — Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese — and Gray (18.7 points per game) and Howard (18.5) remain one of the league’s most productive scoring pairs. Home court does the rest.
Almost none of that has shown up lately. Six losses in seven has turned a team that won a franchise-record 30 games in 2025 into a side searching for answers.
“I don’t even remember losing two games in a row last year…this year is different, but this could help us,” said Karl Smesko, Head Coach of the Atlanta Dream. (Yardbarker)
The Sparks are the form team — without their best player
Los Angeles arrive having scored 100-plus in back-to-back games, including a 102-87 win over the Chicago Sky in which they made 14 three-pointers — a strange sentence to write about a team missing Kelsey Plum, whose 23.9 points per game led the roster before a June 21 lower leg injury ruled her out for at least four weeks.
Nneka Ogwumike (16.9 points, 8.8 rebounds) and Dearica Hamby (14.8 points, 7.7 rebounds) have carried the load — and the shot profile has improved, not collapsed.
“People are getting more secure and confident in their roles…shot-making is a direct relation to shot quality,” said Lynne Roberts, Head Coach of the Los Angeles Sparks. (ESPN)
Form, injuries and what the number is really pricing
An 8.5-point spread implies Atlanta win comfortably; the last month says otherwise. Reese’s availability is the swing factor — she is the Dream’s rebounding engine at 11.7 per game, and without her the interior defence that would normally punish a jump-shooting Sparks side is thinner.
Off the court, Los Angeles dismissed general manager Raegan Pebley — the kind of disruption that usually shows up in performance, and so far has not.
Picks & Predictions
Favourite: Atlanta Dream at -370 (1.27 decimal) on bet365, laying 8.5 points at -110 — the better roster, home court and three All-Star reserves.
Predicted result: Dream 89, Sparks 84 — Atlanta win, Los Angeles cover +8.5, under 180.5. Atlanta’s offence has not cleared 100 during the skid, and the Sparks’ improved shot quality keeps this close late.
Props worth a look:
- Rhyne Howard three-pointers made, over — second in the WNBA at 3.4 threes per game, so volume is not the concern.
- Nneka Ogwumike over rebounds — 8.8 per game, and a thinner Atlanta frontcourt if Reese sits.
- Dearica Hamby points and rebounds — 14.8 and 7.7 per game, with a usage bump every night Plum is absent.
What to fade: Atlanta -8.5 — laying that many points with a team that has lost six of seven, may miss its leading rebounder, and faces a side averaging over 100 in its last two.
Odds correct as of July 13, 2026. Informational only — not financial or betting advice. 18+ / 21+ depending on jurisdiction. See Responsible Gambling notice below.
FAQ
Q: What time is Sparks vs Dream?
A: 7:00 PM ET on July 13, 2026 at Gateway Center Arena, College Park, Georgia.
Q: Is Kelsey Plum playing?
A: No. She has been out since June 21, 2026 with a lower leg injury, ruled out at least four weeks.
Q: Who are the Dream’s All-Stars?
A: Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese were named 2026 WNBA All-Star reserves.
See also our Fever vs Aces WNBA odds and picks and Lynx vs Liberty WNBA breakdown.
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