Scotland vs Brazil World Cup 2026 odds, prediction & picks

Scotland vs Brazil at the 2026 World Cup kicks off at 6 p.m. ET on Wednesday, June 24 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. Brazil sit top of Group C and need only a draw to finish first; Scotland, ranked 40th to Brazil’s sixth, most likely need a win to guarantee progression. Bookmakers make the five-time world champions overwhelming favourites.

What’s at stake in Group C?

Scotland need a victory to be certain of a top-two finish; a draw would likely be enough to advance as one of the best third-placed teams. Brazil clinch top spot by matching or bettering Morocco’s result against Haiti in the simultaneous kick-off. After a 0-1 loss to Morocco and a 1-0 win over Haiti, Scotland keep their fate in their own hands going into the final round.

Form, team news and injuries

Brazil come in off a 3-0 win over Haiti and a 1-1 draw with Morocco, and remain the deepest attacking unit in the group. Raphinha is ruled out with a hamstring problem, with 19-year-old Rayan expected on the right. Neymar is available but is not expected to start, leaving Lucas Paquetá at number 10 behind Vinícius Júnior. The back four of Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel and Douglas Santos stays intact.

Scotland are managing knocks to Scott McKenna (calf) and Aaron Hickey, while Ferguson was rested with fatigue but is likely to start. John McGinn and Scott McTominay are expected in advanced roles, with Che Adams, Lawrence Shankland and Lyndon Dykes competing to lead the line.

What the manager said

“I think we’ve shown in my time in charge that we can be flexible with our system,” said Steve Clarke, Scotland head coach, ahead of the match. (ESPN) Clarke’s plan, he added, is to “pick the right team, give them the right tactics and rely on the players on the pitch” — a measured message for a side that pushed Morocco close.

For more, see our England vs Ghana World Cup 2026 preview and the World Cup 2026 Golden Boot market.

The Betting Angle

Favourite: Brazil at -275 moneyline (American) / 1.36 (decimal) at bet365; Scotland are +700 (8.00) and the draw +400 (5.00). The negative American price means a $275 stake returns $100 profit; the implied probability of about 73% lines up with Kalshi’s 73% on a Brazil win.

Predicted result: Brazil 2-0. Scotland have scored once in two matches and face the group’s most talented attack; a controlled win rather than a rout looks the likeliest path, with Brazil able to manage the game once ahead.

Prop bets worth a look:

• Vinícius Júnior anytime goalscorer — with Raphinha out, more of Brazil’s left-sided threat funnels through him against a makeshift Scotland back line.
• Under 3.5 total goals — Scotland have kept games tight under Clarke, and a 2-0 type scoreline keeps this comfortably under.
• Scott McTominay over 0.5 shots on target — he is Scotland’s most advanced goal threat from midfield and their likeliest route to a consolation.

What to fade: Scotland +700 to win outright. They have never beaten Brazil in 10 attempts and must overturn a 34-place ranking gap; the long price reflects how unlikely a Scottish win is.

Odds correct as of June 24, 2026. Informational only — not financial or betting advice. 18+ / 21+ depending on jurisdiction. See Responsible Gambling notice below.

FAQ

Q: What time is Scotland vs Brazil and where is it played?
A: Kick-off is 6 p.m. ET on Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.

Q: What do Scotland need to qualify?
A: A win guarantees a top-two finish; a draw would likely be enough to advance as one of the best third-placed teams, depending on other Group C results.

Q: Who are the favourites?
A: Brazil, priced at -275 (1.36 decimal) at bet365 — an implied probability of around 73%, matching prediction-market pricing on Kalshi.

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