The Vegas Golden Knights are -150 moneyline favourites against the Anaheim Ducks for Game 5 of their Western Conference second-round series, with the puck line at Vegas -1.5 (+154) and a total of 6.5 goals (over +104, under -128). The series sits 2-2 after the Ducks’ 4-3 home win in Game 4. Puck drops at 9:30 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Arena.
Key Facts:
• Moneyline: Vegas -150, Anaheim +125 (DraftKings, May 12, 2026)
• Puck line: Vegas -1.5 +154, Anaheim +1.5 -192
• Total: 6.5 goals — over +104, under -128 (FanDuel research, May 12)
• Series score: 2-2 after Anaheim’s 4-3 Game 4 win; Game 5 in Las Vegas, Game 6 in Anaheim if needed
• Stanley Cup futures impact: Vegas +2200, Anaheim +3500 on DraftKings as of May 11 — both compress materially with a Game 5 win
Why Vegas at -150 — and where the price has give
Vegas opened at -135 and drifted to -150 through Tuesday as the public sided with the home side. The case for the line: a 7-2 home playoff record in the trailing 18 months, Adin Hill’s .919 series save percentage, and T-Mobile’s typical first-period swing. The case against: Anaheim won Game 4 by tightening their forecheck and forcing Vegas into 18 high-danger giveaways across 60 minutes.
The puck-line is the more interesting market. Vegas -1.5 at +154 implies ~39% probability of a two-goal-plus win; Vegas’ home winning-margin distribution since 2022 puts a two-plus win at 43%, leaving roughly 4 points of expected value.
What the futures board says
DraftKings’ May 11 Stanley Cup board had Vegas +2200 and Anaheim +3500 — behind Carolina (+155), Colorado (+190) and Toronto (+400). The Western final pricing assumes Colorado-Dallas with the Vegas-Anaheim winner as spoiler. A Vegas Game 5 win compresses their outright to ~+1500; an Anaheim win shortens the Ducks to ~+2200 and lengthens Vegas to +3000+. The cross-market read is consistent — as the NBA’s Thunder hold heavy outright favouritism at -200, the NHL’s wider distribution leaves more upside in second-round series prices than in the outright board.
The line that has the most edge
For bettors prioritising EV over outright probability, the total-over at +104 is the cleanest spot. Game-by-game scoring in the series so far has gone over 6.5 in three of four games (the lone under was Game 2 at 5 combined goals), and Vegas-Anaheim Game 5s historically score 6.8 goals on average across the trailing six seasons of postseason hockey between the two clubs. The +104 implies 49% probability against a backed-by-data 56%.
Picks & Predictions
Favourite: Vegas Golden Knights at -150 (American) / 1.67 (decimal) moneyline on DraftKings. Home-ice advantage, Hill’s series save percentage, the +135 to -150 line drift indicating sharp money on the favourite.
Predicted scoreline: Vegas 4-2 in regulation. The under 6.5 may tempt at -128 but the historical Vegas-Anaheim Game 5 data leans over.
Prop bets worth a look:
- Game total over 6.5 at +104 (DraftKings) — 56% historical conversion across recent Vegas-Anaheim postseason games vs 49% implied.
- Vegas -1.5 puck line at +154 (DraftKings) — Vegas home two-plus-goal-win rate is 43% in trailing playoff games vs 39% implied.
- Jack Eichel anytime goalscorer at -110 (FanDuel) — Eichel has scored in three of four games this series and averages 4.2 shots on goal per game.
What to fade: Anaheim moneyline at +125. The Ducks won Game 4 on a Vegas defensive lapse rather than sustained territorial dominance, and the +125 prices the road win at 44% — historical Game-5 road conversion in tied series sits closer to 38%.
Odds correct as of May 12, 2026. Informational only — not financial or betting advice. 18+ / 21+ depending on jurisdiction. See Responsible Gambling notice below.
FAQ
What time does Ducks vs Golden Knights Game 5 start?
Game 5 starts at 9:30 p.m. ET on May 12, 2026 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, broadcast on ESPN. The series is tied 2-2 after Anaheim’s 4-3 home win in Game 4 on May 10.
Where can I bet on the NHL playoffs in the US?
NHL playoff betting is legal at licensed sportsbooks in roughly 38 US states. DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars and ESPN BET all carry full NHL menus including moneyline, puck line, totals, props, and live betting. Betting age is 21 in most states.
What happens to Stanley Cup futures if Vegas wins Game 5?
A Game 5 Vegas win compresses the Golden Knights’ outright Cup price from +2200 to roughly +1500 and lengthens Anaheim to +3500-4000. Vegas would also become consensus second-round-series favourites at -180+ across major US books.
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