France meet Morocco in the World Cup 2026 quarter-finals at Gillette Stadium on Thursday, July 9 — a rematch of the 2022 semi-final — with Les Bleus priced at -180 on FanDuel and Morocco a +550 outsider in 90 minutes.
France vs Morocco is the pick of the World Cup 2026 quarter-finals: FanDuel prices France at -180 on the 90-minute moneyline (American format, where -180 means a $180 stake returns $100 profit; 1.56 in decimal), with the draw at +280 and Morocco at +550. Kick-off is 4:00pm ET on Thursday, July 9, 2026 in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
Key Facts:
• France are -180 (1.56) in 90 minutes and -430 to qualify on FanDuel, with Morocco +550 and the draw +280 — FanDuel, July 9, 2026
• France have won all five matches this tournament, scoring 14 goals and conceding two — Squawka
• Morocco are unbeaten in five but lose striker Ismael Saibari to a hamstring injury, with Soufiane Rahimi starting — FanDuel Research
• The sides last met in the 2022 World Cup semi-final in Qatar, which France won 2-0
Why this rematch carries an edge
The 2022 semi-final in Qatar ended 2-0 to France; Morocco’s run that year made them the first African side to reach a World Cup semi-final, and they arrive in Foxborough unbeaten through five games in 2026. France have been the tournament’s standout team — five wins from five with a 14-2 goal difference, a run our Polymarket World Cup deep dive on France at 33¢ examined at outright level.
“We met them four years ago in the semifinal. They also played in the African final. It is a really great, excellent team with top-notch individuals. They’re not here to play. They’re there to win,” said Didier Deschamps, France’s head coach, at his pre-match press conference. (The Boston Globe)
Team news: Saibari out, Tchouaméni still sidelined
Morocco’s biggest selection problem is up front: Ismael Saibari’s hamstring strain has not healed in time, and Soufiane Rahimi is expected to lead the line, per FanDuel Research. Achraf Hakimi captains from right-back with Brahim Díaz the main creative threat.
France remain without midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni (thigh), with Manu Koné continuing alongside Adrien Rabiot. Kylian Mbappé leads the attack, flanked by Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise — the trio behind most of those 14 goals.
Form, history and the market’s read
France’s -430 to-qualify price implies roughly 81% to reach the semi-finals, while Kalshi’s regulation market has France at 62%, the draw at 25% and Morocco at 15%. Morocco’s upset path runs through Bono’s goalkeeping and a disciplined low block — but Saibari’s absence blunts the counter-attacking outlet that plan depends on. The rest of the bracket is covered in our Argentina vs Switzerland quarter-final preview.
The Betting Angle
Favourite: France at -180 moneyline (American) / 1.56 (decimal) in 90 minutes on FanDuel; -430 to qualify. The total sits at 2.5 goals (over -122, under +100). France’s 14 goals in five games is the tournament’s best attacking output.
Predicted result: France 2-1 Morocco in 90 minutes — over 2.5 goals lands. The call leans on France scoring in every match this tournament while Morocco’s first-choice striker watches from the bench; Morocco’s set-piece threat through Hakimi keeps them on the scoresheet.
Prop bets worth a look:
- Kylian Mbappé anytime goalscorer at -110 — he leads France’s attack in a five-game run producing 14 goals (FanDuel Research).
- Both teams to score at -108 — Morocco are unbeaten in five and France have conceded twice, so the 2-0 shutout from 2022 is no template.
- Michael Olise anytime goalscorer at +240 — the widest price among France’s front four starters in FanDuel’s goalscorer market.
What to fade: Morocco +550 on the 90-minute moneyline. The 2022 nostalgia and neutral-crowd support pull recreational money toward the outright upset, but with Saibari out, the draw at +280 is where Morocco’s realistic ceiling — a low-scoring stalemate into extra time — actually pays.
Odds correct as of July 9, 2026. Informational only — not financial or betting advice. 18+ / 21+ depending on jurisdiction. See Responsible Gambling notice below.
FAQ
Q: When is France vs Morocco at World Cup 2026?
A: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 4:00pm ET at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, live on FOX in the US.
Q: What happened when France played Morocco in 2022?
A: France won the 2022 World Cup semi-final 2-0 in Qatar through goals from Theo Hernandez and Randal Kolo Muani.
Q: Who is missing for France vs Morocco?
A: Morocco striker Ismael Saibari (hamstring) is out, with Soufiane Rahimi starting. France midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni (thigh) remains sidelined, with Manu Koné continuing.
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