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Kalshi Fed July 2026 odds: is a 25bps hike at 10¢ value?
Kalshi prices a 25bps Fed hike at the July 2026 FOMC at 10¢ while fed funds futures imply 18.8%. We walk the math, the edge, and where the bet breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi AmureTobi Opeyemi Amure
EditorDeep DiveseSports
Editor and content strategist for crypto and iGaming news. Former contributor at Watcher Guru, Investing.com, and Traders Union. Named among LinkedIn's top 333 Web3 creators. Covers esports betting, sports wagering, and gambling regulation.
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Stories by Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Kalshi vs Polymarket World Cup 2026 odds: is Spain at 12¢ value?
Kalshi vs Polymarket World Cup 2026 odds compared: Spain trades at 12¢ on both venues. We model the true probability near 14% — a thin edge, deconstructed.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket 2026 Senate odds: are Democrats at 42¢ value?
2026 Senate odds: prediction markets price Democrats near 42¢ to flip the chamber, but a red-tilted map makes the Republican hold the value side.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Esports World Cup 2026 Dota 2 odds: PARIVISION favourites, picks
Esports World Cup 2026 Dota 2 odds: PARIVISION and Team Yandex are 5.00 co-favourites in Paris, but a tight 24-team field keeps the outright live.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
MSI 2026 Play-In: T1 sweep, Bracket Stage odds & picks
T1 swept the MSI 2026 Play-In, beating Team Liquid and Karmine Corp 3-0 each to reach the Bracket Stage. We break down the odds, predictions and props.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
World Cup 2026 odds: is England at 12¢ on Polymarket value?
World Cup 2026 odds: England trade at 12¢ on Polymarket (12% implied), but Opta's 11.2% says the price is fair, not value. The math, the bracket, the edge.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Valorant Esports World Cup 2026 odds: Paper Rex favourites
Paper Rex are +200 favourites for the Valorant title at Esports World Cup 2026 in Paris. Odds, prediction, props and picks for the July 2-12 event.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
World Cup 2026 odds: is Argentina at 15¢ on Polymarket value?
World Cup 2026 odds: Polymarket has Argentina at 15¢ (15%), but a path model says ~12% — the title holders look slightly overbet. Where the bet breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
World Cup 2026 odds: is France at 19¢ on Polymarket value?
World Cup 2026 odds: Polymarket has France at 19¢ to win, but an Opta-anchored model says ~15% — why the favourite is slightly overpriced, and where it breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Polymarket Fed July 2026 odds: is a rate hike at 23¢ value?
Polymarket prices a July 2026 Fed rate hike at 23¢. We compare it to CME FedWatch and the FOMC calendar to find where the value sits — and where it breaks.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
OG qualify for The International 2026 after four-year absence
OG qualified for The International 2026 in Shanghai, ending a four-year absence. What the two-time champions' return means for TI outright betting markets.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure
Dota 2 TI 2026 Europe qualifier odds: Team Spirit picks
Dota 2 TI 2026 Europe qualifier odds: Team Spirit are favourites for one of four slots at ~1.71 after a clean opener. Predictions, props and what to fade.
Tobi Opeyemi Amure